Simulation #47,382 complete — SQUID_V2 — 97.2% crash detected
Simula AI v0.4.7
Pre-launch tokenomics simulation engine
Your token will crash.
The only question is when.
We run 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations on your tokenomics before you launch. Our AI has learned from 500+ failures. Don't become #501.
Latest Detection
Pi Network99.7%
CRASH PROBABILITY — DETECTED 47 DAYS PRE-LAUNCH
Case Study
Pi Network Autopsy
We simulated Pi Network's tokenomics 10,000 times. In 9,970 of them, it collapsed within 12 months.
Token
PI / USD
Survival Rate
0.3%
Day 10.4% risk
Day 9047% risk
Day 18094.7% risk
Day 365COLLAPSE
Simulation run: 2024-02-14 | Model: RL-CRASH-v4.2 | Confidence: 99.2%
Fatal Flaws Detected
- 01Top 50 wallets control 60% of supply
- 02Zero vesting for early miners
- 03Infinite supply, no burn mechanism
- 0440% unlock in single 24h window
Recommended Fixes
- →24-month linear unlock schedule
- →Cap individual holdings at 0.1%
- →2% transfer burn mechanism
Failure Database
500+ corpses analyzed.
Don't be #501.
| Token | Fatal Flaw | Time to Collapse | Crash % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pi Network | Infinite supply + concentration | ~12 months | 99.7% |
| LUNA | Reflexive mint/burn death spiral | 72 hours | 99.9% |
| FTT | Collateral manipulation | 48 hours | 98.8% |
| SafeMoon | Ponzi tokenomics + LP drain | 6 months | 91.5% |
| LIBRA | Regulatory + no utility | Stalled | 87.2% |
| ICP | VC unlock cascade | 90 days | 94% |
Interactive Terminal
Test your tokenomics.
Team Allocation30%
Vesting Period12 months
Initial Circulating10%
Crash Probability
93%
⚠ HIGH RISK — DO NOT LAUNCH
Case Study: [REDACTED]
We prevented a $47M loss.
A top-50 project ran their tokenomics through Simula AI 48 hours before launch. We detected an 89% crash probability within 6 months. They delayed, adjusted, and relaunched with a 91% survival rate.
Before Simula AI
11%
survival rate
After adjustments
91%
survival rate
Status: Live today. $180M FDV. Still running.
Don't launch blind.
89% of tokens with poor tokenomics die within 6 months. Run the simulation before you commit.